Coronavirus COVID-19 Daily Update 27th March 2020
Coronavirus COVID-19 Daily Update 27th March 2020
This update will be published daily at 12pm GMT and aims to provide clinicians and the public with an overview of the latest data, guidelines, key publications and policy around COVID-19, with links to essential resources and information.
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Global Impact of COVID-19 to Date
As of 27th March 09:00 (GMT)
COVID-19 Cumulative Global Cases
As of 26th March 09:00 (GMT)
Source: World Health Organisation
COVID-19 Global Active Cases Map
As of 27th March 09:00 GMT
Total UK COVID-19 Cases
As of 26th March
NB: Public Health England has now moved to a different reporting time for UK COVID-19 fatalities, as family consent is now needed to release mortality statistics. Hence the reported figures may not actually be the deaths that have taken place over the past 24 hours, meaning caution needs to be exercised when comparing figures from one day to the next.
Source: Public Health England
COVID-19 Cumulative UK Cases
As of 26th March
Source: Public Health England
COVID-19 Daily UK Cases
As of 26th March
Source: Public Health England
Latest Developments
The virus has spread worldwide despite containment efforts
As of 25th March 2020
Source: McKinsey & Company
Are Things Getting Better or Worse?
This graph shows the percentage of the total number of cases that occurred in the last 10 days for each country. This is plotted relative to the first day where more than 1 confirmed case per million people appeared. The size of the point represents the number of cases
As of 26th March 2020
Source: https://llvll.ch/
Countries begin with similar trajectories but curves diverge based on range of measures taken
As of 25th March 2020
Source: McKinsey & Company
Western countries are largely instituting the "Early China model," focused on immediate containment while ramping up testing
As of 25th March 2020
Source: McKinsey & Company
Italy
37 doctors have died after contracting Covid-19 in Italy
As the country scales testing, the effects of national lockdown on viral transmission have yet to be determined
As of 25th March 2020
Spain
Spain records highest single-day death toll and withdraws 'inaccurate' testing kits
Spain Ministry of Health Website
China
Rapid lockdowns were employed to manage outbreak before ramping up testing and response capabilities
As of 25th March 2020
Source: McKinsey & Company
USA
US now has more cases than any other country
In China, no province outside Hubei ever had more than 1,500 cases. In the U.S. 11 states already hit that total:
As of 26th March 2020
Source: New York Times
Modelling published in the New York Times shows why social distancing cannot be quickly or prematurely relaxed.
Source: New York Times
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website
US Coronavirus (COVID-19) website
Official Coronavirus (COVID-19) in California website
South Korea: Rigorous investigation of outbreak clusters and rapidly scaled testing capabilities limited spread
As of 25th March 2020
Source: McKinsey & Company
Latest COVID-19 Publications
Some key recent publications to be aware of:
The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study
Published 25th March 2020
This modelling study for China's COVID-19 data, published in the Lancet, shows why social distancing cannot be quickly or prematurely relaxed.
Case-Fatality Rate and Characteristics of Patients Dying in Relation to COVID-19 in Italy
Published 23rd March 2020
This article reviews the Italian experience with COVID-19 with an emphasis on fatalities. It reports the overall fatality rate of persons with confirmed COVID-19 in the Italian population, based on data up to March 17, was 7.2% (1625 deaths/22 512 cases), and discusses the possible reasons for this high fatality rate.
Author: Dr Daniel Livingstone, MedShr - Health Education England Fellow
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